miércoles, 15 de abril de 2020

INTERCAM BANCO: OPINIÓN DE LA MESA Divisas 15 de abril de 2020 Comentario de la mesa


Buen día, empezamos con un precio que se llegó a depreciar hasta 2.71% hasta el momento 24.0430 (al momento de escribir este comentario) aunque hasta las 7 de la mañana el máximo nivel había sido 23.9950 aproximadamente.
Todas las divisas, de mercados emergentes y divisas duras van perdiendo terreno frente al dólar norteamericano, y como sucede regularmente la sobrerreacción de la divisa mexicana implica ser la que hasta el momento se deprecia más que todas, esto debido a la alta liquidez que tiene, además de que el riesgo país se ha disparado de manera importante llegando de nueva cuenta sobre 251 puntos (desde los 220 de ayer) y de que el precio del crudo cae por debajo de los 20 dólares el barril (WTI)
Se publicaron datos de ventas minoristas con resultados mixtos, los datos de manufactura los que cayeron de manera dramática a -78.2 puntos y durante el día tendremos datos de producción industrial, flujos netos de capital y sobre todo el Beige Book en donde el Banco de la Reserva Federal detalla las condiciones económicas y las decisiones de política monetaria tomadas anteriormente. Técnicamente vemos de corto plazo niveles sobre 23.85 como soporte, aunque de corto plazo el 23.92 parece ser un soporte alcanzable el día de hoy; la primera resistencia está marcada en 24.23 y extensiones hacia 23.55/24.45 Rangos iniciales 23.92/24.25.
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Stock markets in Asia closed mixed, between -1.19% and +1.96%, European markets are, by mid-day negative, -3.22%, while futures in Americas are expecting a mixed opening.
President Trump said yesterday that he will suspend US funding to the World Health Organization, as he accused the WHO of “severely mismanaging and covering up the spread of the coronavirus.” This news was not well-received by doctors and other scientist, as the US is the largest single donor of the WHO, with almost $900 million USD. This comes at the worst moment, as coronavirus pandemic is hurting the whole world.
Coronavirus has almost reach the 2 million confirmed cases world-wide, with 128,011 deaths. The US has now 609,685 cases, Spain has 177,633 and Italy has 162,488 confirmed cases. Mexico has now, according to Johns Hopkins Covid-19 Resource Center 5,399 confirmed cases with 406 deaths. In China, the People ́s Bank of China offered $100 billion Yuan on a one-year medium-term lending facility and cut the rate to 2.95% from 3.15%.
The Euro is around 1.0870 and the British Pound is around 1.2460, Oil is below $20 USD per barrel, lowest level since March 30th. Peso is weak against dollar, trading around 24.05.
This Day in History!
A day like today in 1947, Jackie Robinson, age 28, becomes the first African American player in the Major League Baseball when he steps onto Ebbets Field in Brooklyn to compete for the Brooklyn Dodgers. Robins broke the color barrier in a sport that had been segregated for more than 50 years. Exactly 50 years later, on April 15, 1997, Robinson ́s groundbreaking career was honored and his uniform number, 42, was retired from Major League Baseball by Commissioner Bud Selig in a ceremony attended by over 50,000 fans at New York City ́s Shea Stadium.
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