martes, 17 de noviembre de 2020

INTERCAM BANCO: OPINIÓN DE LA MESA Divisas 17 de noviembre de 2020 Comentario de la mesa

 

Hola, muy buen día. El mercado estuvo oscilando en un rango desde 20.15 y 20.38 aproximadamente durante nuestro feriado y las primeras horas de este martes, con nuevas noticias sobre la vacuna contra el Covid, ahora es el turno del laboratorio Moderna (norteamericana) con una efectividad de 94.5% en las pruebas, lo que hizo que tanto las Bolsas de Valores como nuestro peso se pusieran positivos, aunque hoy amanecemos muy cercanos a los niveles de cierre del viernes.

Se publicaron ventas minoristas con resultados menores a los estimados, la producción industrial un poco mejor al proyectado y para lo que resta de la jornada tendremos inventarios de negocios y flujos netos de capital con poca relevancia. Técnicamente para el peso vemos niveles muy claros de mediano plazo, marcados en 20.05 y 20.25 como soportes, mientras que en la parte alta empezamos con un nivel de resistencia inmediata marcada en 20.65 y 20.85 son los niveles de resistencia de mediano plazo. Para el Intraday vemos que a niveles cercanos a 20.30 se demanda el dólar y niveles cercanos a 20.45 se observa liquidez. No podemos dejar de observar que hoy es el último día para el pago de obligaciones fiscales lo que puede motivar algo de liquidez. Rangos iniciales 20.32/20.54 con un nivel de pivote en 20.45.

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Good morning, Asia-Pacific stock markets closed mixed this Monday, as hopes on a coronavirus vaccine keep supporting markets, now it was Moderna, who ́s preliminary phase trial data showed that its vaccine was more than 94% effective in preventing Covid- 19. Airline stocks got a boost in the region with vaccine ́s news. Japanese Nikkei was up +0.42%, followed by Australian S&P with +0.21%, on the other hand, Shanghai Composite was lower -0.19% and South Korea ́s Kospi edged down - 0.15%. In Europe, by mid-day shares retreat, after Hungary and Poland blocked the adoption of the 2021-2027 budget and recovery fund by EU governments on Monday, Spaniard IBEX is -1.73%, while UK ́s FTSE is -1.47%. Wall Street futures are expecting a negative opening, after Retail sales increased just 0.3% during October, worse than the 0.5% forecast, Industrial production expanded slightly more than expected, 1.1% vs 1.0%.

In the UK, post Brexit talks will have its last chance to reach an agreement this week, but UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson will not “sacrifice” its sovereignty to get an agreement with Brussels next week. The British Pound is at 1.3250.

Oil is $40.97 USD per barrel, gold is $1,887.90 USD per ounce, the Euro is 1.1875 and the Peso is 20.40.

This Day in History!

A day like today in 1869, The Suez Canal, connecting the Mediterranean and the Red seas, is inaugurated in an elaborate ceremony attended by French Empress Eugénie, wife of Napoleon III.

In 1854, Ferdinand de Lesseps, the former French consul to Cairo, secured an agreement with the Ottoman governor of Egypt to build a canal 100 miles across the Isthmus of Suez. An international team of engineers drew up a construction plan, and in 1856 the Suez Canal Company was formed and granted the right to operate the canal for 99 years after completion of the work.

Construction began in April 1859, and at first digging was done by hand with picks and shovels wielded by forced laborers. Later, European workers with dredgers and steam shovels arrived. Labor disputes and a cholera epidemic slowed construction, and the Suez Canal was not completed until 1869–four years behind schedule. On November 17, 1869, the Suez Canal was opened to navigation. Ferdinand de Lesseps would later attempt, unsuccessfully, to build a canal across the Isthmus of Panama.

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