lunes, 6 de julio de 2020

INTERCAM BANCO: OPINIÓN DE LA MESA Divisas 6 de julio de 2020 Comentario de la mesa


Hola muy buen día, empezamos esta jornada con precios oscilando los 22.25 con niveles “overnight” entre 22.15 y 22.30 después del precio de cierre marcado alrededor de 22.40 la semana pasada.
Más estímulos a la economía, anunciados tanto por Jerome Powell y Steven Mnuchin la semana pasada y Trump está listo para inyectarlos al sistema manufacturero, han debilitado al dólar norteamericano; esta es una de las razones por las cuales el precio se encuentra alcanzando los 22 ́s bajos, no tanto por una recuperación en la economía de nuestro país.
En el mes de junio y hasta el momento, el MXN ha sido la divisa con el peor desempeño en el orbe, cayendo 2.78%, sin embargo, en lo que va del mes de julio, ha sido la otra cara de la moneda recuperando 2.28% y siendo la de mejor desempeño entre las principales divisas del mundo.
Hoy se publicó hace unos minutos el dato de inversión fija bruta en nuestro país, el resultado ha sido el peor dato registrado, inclusive menor al del año 1995. En EEUU, estaremos atentos a los datos del PMI de servicios, así como del compuesto y del SMI no manufacturero.
Técnicamente, de corto plazo vemos niveles de 22.15 como primer soporte con extensión hasta la gran figura de 22.00, mientras tanto los primeros niveles de resistencia se observan en 22.26 y extensión al 22.30. Rangos iniciales 22.15/22.30.
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Good morning,
Asian stock markets closed positive this Monday, +5.67%, as investors expect that data will support optimism on the global economy recovery. European stocks bounce +2.12% by mid-day as well. Dow futures jump 400 points to start the week, after Friday ́s holiday. However, Monday ́s upbeat mood in markets contrasts with a continuing spike in the number of coronavirus cases in the US. In Germany, factory orders rose 10.4%, but less than expected in May, after lockdown measures were eased. Data suggest that German ́s economy has passed the worst, but the slow recovery shows how difficult it will be to repair damage caused by the coronavirus pandemic. Retail sales in the Eurozone rebounded better than expected on May, 17.8% higher than in April, a record jump. Euro was boosted by European data, surpassing the 1.13 mark, and it’s now trading around 1.1335. Oil price remains above $40 USD per barrel.
Talks between the EU and the UK will resume today in London, after Brussels round leaves serious divergences. Angela Merkel said on Wednesday that both, her country and the 27-nation bloc, should prepare for the case where an agreement is not reached. British Pound is 1.2510. The Peso keeps getting strong against all odds, as risk appetite is on the increase among global investors, the Peso is around 22.2380, and could test support on 22.10, and if it breaks it, it could look to test 22.00. This Day in History!
A day like today in 1957, Althea Gibson claims the women’s singles tennis title at Wimbledon and becomes the first African American to win a championship at London’s All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club.
Gibson was born on August 25, 1927, in Silver, South Carolina, and raised in the Harlem section of New York City. She began playing tennis as a teenager and went on to win the national Black women’s championship twice. At a time when tennis was largely segregated, four-time U.S. Nationals winner Alice Marble advocated on Gibson’s behalf and the 5’11” player was invited to make her U.S. Open debut in 1950. In 1956, Gibson’s tennis career took off and she won the singles title at the French Open —the first African American to do so—as well as the doubles’ title there. In July 1957, Gibson won Wimbledon.
In September 1957, she won the U.S. Open, and the Associated Press named her Female Athlete of the Year in 1957 and 1958. During the 1950s, Gibson won 56 singles and doubles titles, including 11 major titles. After winning Wimbledon and the U.S. Open again in 1958, Gibson retired from amateur tennis.
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